Current research projects (2019-2024)
Residual Risk and Adaptation Database (RRAD): advancing climate risk assessment approaches for IPCC working group II in preparation for the AR7
Understanding the risks of climate change to different ecological and social sectors is one of the most important tasks of the IPCC Assessment reports, as well as one of the most important evaluations for use among national and international decision makers and government agencies. The proposed project aims to report on innovative developments made during the recent AR6 Assessment cycle by IPCC WGII to establish a standardized approach to risk assessment that incorporates key variables in climate risk such as, residual risk, adaptation limits, and feasibility. These efforts led to the development of the Residual Risk and Adaptation Database (RRAD), to comprehensively examine the relative risks of key ecological and societal sectors (i.e. food and fibre, economic areas, ocean, terrestrial, health, tourism, cities and settlements, others) across polar regions. It also enables additional analysis of sub-regions including the Pan-Arctic and Inuit Nunangat. The project team, which is made up of the IPCC WGII polar cross-chapter author team, plans to prepare two papers focused on RRAD development and results of a polar risk assessment using RRAD that will be submitted to Nature Communications and Nature Climate Change, respectively. We will also prepare the RRAD tool for open-source sharing by using Shiny, R and github, so that others can use and modify the standardized approach in the future.